Brexit: Brinksmanship gone awry

Imagine you are by the cliff-side. Playing a game. In your game you rush at the cliff. At the very last minute you dig in your heels. Bringing yourself to a halt just in before you tumble over.

Then this one time pebbles called Nigel Farage and Boris Johnson get themselves under your heels. Before you know it, you are over the edge. That is what we call brinksmanship gone awry, or Brexit for short. That was the game david Cameron played.

And when he clutched at straws he grabbed Jeremy Corbyn's lapel! It remains to be seen whether the cloth will tear and leave Corbyn standing or if he is toppling over with Cameron.

Surely if Edward Heath is hearing what the Brits are going to get by getting out the EU he is spinning like a top in his grave. He worked so hard to get them in.

The question to be asked is exactly what is Britain going to get by leaving? The main pillars of Leave campaign were 1) stop contributing to EU budget 2) stop immigration especially from Eastern Europe 3) tell the EU to continue giving Britain access to the free market or simply trade under WTO rules.

As long as Britain wants to stay in the single market the Guardian quoted a European diplomat as stressing that "participating in the single market meant accepting EU rules, including the jurisdiction of the European court of justice, monitoring by the European commission and accepting the primacy of EU law over national law". That conditions include free movement of people so migration won't stop. It also means contributng to the EU budget.

To me that doesn't sound like leaving the EU. It sounds a lot like staying with less rights. If the British do drigger article 50, ultimately it would mean staying without the rights of a full member. If they don't, they have significantly weakened their negotiating power. They may even loose some of the concessions they had previously negotiated.

If you ask me Brexit is brinksmanship gone awry. The fact that nobody including the Leave campaigners had a plan on how to leave the EU suggests that even they didn't really want it. The first sign that Boris didn't want to handle the hot potato he personally cooked was when he wrote to David Cameron in the dead of night asking him not to leave.

In my view, British politicians, including Boris Johnson, are going to try and wriggle their way out of triggering article 50. So people, relax. Take your seats. Bring your pillows and take a nap. There is going to be no Brexit